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| #30257 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:30 PM 05.Jul.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 0300Z WED JUL 06 2005 AT 11 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 68.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 71.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.4N 74.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.8N 76.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 55SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.1N 78.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 82.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 85SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 69.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
