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| #30326 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 06.Jul.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 RADAR SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT CINDY HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER LOUISIANA. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS STILL WELL ORGANIZED WITH VERY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 50 KNOTS AND CINDY SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER LAND AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION IS 035/12. CINDY IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH. SO A CONTINUED NORTHEAST TRACK WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED...UNTIL IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM. CINDY HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL AFFECTING THE COAST. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL WARNINGS ARE KEPT AT THIS TIME BUT MOST LIKELY WILL BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY AS THE STORM MOVES FARTHER INLAND. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 30.1N 89.7W 50 KT 12HR VT 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.5W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 07/0600Z 33.5N 86.0W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 07/1800Z 35.0N 83.5W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 08/0600Z 37.0N 80.0W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 09/0600Z 40.0N 74.5W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 10/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT |
