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#30329 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 AM 06.Jul.2005)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0900Z WED JUL 06 2005

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA AND THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI
FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 70.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 70.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 69.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.1N 72.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N 77.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 26.5N 85.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 30.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA