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#30506 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 06.Jul.2005)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
2100Z WED JUL 06 2005

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND
GUANTANAMO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
WESTWARD...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 72.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 72.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 71.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.0N 74.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.4N 76.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.0N 79.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 81.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.0N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 72.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

FORECASTER KNABB/PASCH