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| #306115 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:37 AM 05.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 400 AM EST THU NOV 05 2009 ...IDA NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT BEARS DOWN ON NICARAGUA... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA THIS MORNING...AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA COULD BRIEFLY REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL THIS MORNING. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED ONCE IDA MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES. A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IDA MAKES LANDFALL. ...SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...12.8N 83.4W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM EST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/CANGIALOSI |
