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#306546 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:37 PM 06.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 1000 PM EST FRI NOV 06 2009 ...IDA MOVING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM HONDURAS...COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON... INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. ON THIS TRACK...IDA IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND IDA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. THE RAINFALL THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH IDA IS DIMINISHING OVER NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...WHERE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST INFORMATION... LOCATION...16.2N 84.0W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM EST. $$ FORECASTER BERG/BROWN |