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| #306819 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:49 AM 08.Nov.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009 300 AM CST SUN NOV 08 2009 ...IDA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...WILL MOVE NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE MARINE AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES... 135 KM...EAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY...PASSING CLOSE TO THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND IDA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE TODAY OR TONIGHT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVER HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. ...SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST INFORMATION... LOCATION...20.5N 85.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 600 AM CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 AM CST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/KIMBERLAIN |
