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#31245 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 09.Jul.2005)
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0900Z SAT JUL 09 2005

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...AND
CIENFUEGOS. AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR CUBA
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR ALL PROVINCES FROM SANCTI SPIRITUS
EASTWARD. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH
SOUTHWARD.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONCHARTRAIN.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 82.9W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 82.9W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 82.5W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.3N 84.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 85.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.8N 87.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.5N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.0N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 38.0N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 39.1N 85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 82.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA