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The 2021 Altantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st, 2021. 2020 is officially over, but still a 30% chance area lingers.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 196 (Zeta) , Major: 258 (Laura) Florida - Any: 945 (Michael) Major: 945 (Michael)
 
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#31918 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 10.Jul.2005)
TCDAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

DENNIS MADE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AT 1925Z THIS AFTERNOON. THE
LANDFALL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 100 TO 105 KT...BASED ON
FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 117 KT AT 1928Z...TWO STEPPED-FREQUENCY
MICROWAVE RADIOMETER OBSERVATIONS OF 100 KT JUST NORTH OF THE
CENTER JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. DROPSONDE OBSERVATIONS AT LANDFALL
ALSO SUPPORT THIS VALUE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 350/18. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH A GRADUAL RECURVATURE
AND SLOWDOWN OR STALL IN THE OHIO VALLEY AFTER 48 HOURS...AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THIS COULD
RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE TRACK OF
DENNIS...AND ITS REMNANTS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD EXTEND PERHAPS 100 TO 150 MILES INLAND
OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 10/2100Z 30.8N 87.2W 90 KT
12HR VT 11/0600Z 32.7N 88.0W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 11/1800Z 35.2N 89.2W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 12/0600Z 37.0N 89.5W 25 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 12/1800Z 37.8N 89.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 13/1800Z 38.5N 88.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 14/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 15/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW