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| #32419 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:11 PM 12.Jul.2005) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 0300Z WED JUL 13 2005 AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR TOBAGO TO A HURRICANE WARNING...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR TRINIDAD. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS... TOBAGO...GRENADA...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...AND ST. LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 54.7W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 54.7W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 53.8W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 11.1N 57.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.8N 60.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.7N 63.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.7N 66.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N 79.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 54.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z FORECASTER KNABB |
