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| #3270 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:31 PM 31.Jul.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 0300Z SUN AUG 01 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 78.9W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 78.9W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 78.8W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.4N 79.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 33.5N 79.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 34.5N 77.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 36.0N 75.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N 69.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 44.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 46.0N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 78.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
