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| #33587 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 17.Jul.2005) TCMAT5 HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 0300Z MON JUL 18 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO CAMPECHE...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO EARLY MONDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 86.5W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 40SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 86.5W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 85.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 15SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 25SE 15SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.3N 91.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 40SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.3N 94.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.1N 96.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 102.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 86.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH |
