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| #33622 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 18.Jul.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...EMILY BEGINS TO WEAKEN OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM CABO ROJO NORTHWARD TO THE TEXAS BORDER. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CABO ROJO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO CAMPECHE...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES... 115 KM... WEST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO. EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR MIDDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EMILY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE EMILY IS OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ON THE CARIBBEAN SIDE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL BE DIMINISHING DURING THE DAY TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...20.6 N... 88.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
