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| #33733 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 18.Jul.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...EMILY LOST IT PUNCH OVER YUCATAN...EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR YUCATAN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES... 715 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 480 MILES... 770 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE NEARING THE COAST OF NORTHEAST MEXICO LATE TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EMILY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC STATION JUST NORTH OF EMILY RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 71 MPH...115 KM/HR. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 INCHES OR LESS ACROSS YUCATAN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...22.3 N... 91.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
