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| #34315 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:03 PM 20.Jul.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2005 ...EMILY WEAKENING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO BUT HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD TO LA PESCA MEXICO. THIS WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 99.7 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES ... 100 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONTERREY MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MCALLEN TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS... TAKING EMILY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND EMILY WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...225 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE GRADUALLY DECREASING OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WHERE 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...25.0 N... 99.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER KNABB |
