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| #34386 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 21.Jul.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT THU JUL 21 2005 ...EMILY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN MEXICO...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.1 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MONTERREY MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. MONTERREY REPORTED 4.09 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE 6 HOUR PERIOD ENDING AT 1 AM CDT. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...101.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
