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#35225 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 24.Jul.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GERT ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005 ...CENTER OF GERT MOVES INLAND JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER EASTERN MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD TO LA PESCA. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON MONDAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... 30 KM...SOUTHWEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO. GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF GERT FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY HURRICANE EMILY. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...22.0 N... 98.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |