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| #355132 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 26.Jun.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1000 AM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 ...LARGE TROPICAL STORM ALEX HEADING TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 86.1W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF BELIZE CITY ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN * THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...AND THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
