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| #355352 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 27.Jun.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 400 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 ...ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 89.4W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BELIZE RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE OVER LAND...AND ALEX COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER... RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY...WHEN ALEX WILL BE BACK OVER WARM WATER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF THE COASTS OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES FARTHER INLAND THIS MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
