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| #3585 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 02.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT MON AUG 02 2004 ...ALEX STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX IS FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND ALEX COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO SOUND. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.8 N... 77.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
