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| #362668 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:49 PM 23.Jul.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 ...BONNIE...LESS ORGANIZED...MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 81.1W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A FEW RAINBANDS. NO IMPORTANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST WHILE BONNIE CROSSES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ALONG SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS |
