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| #362725 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 23.Jul.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 ...BONNIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.2N 81.9W ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASE TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BONNIE COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN SOUTH FLORIDA WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL LIKELY BEGIN ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS |
