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| #362775 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:48 PM 23.Jul.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 800 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 ...CENTER OF BONNIE EMERGES INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.4N 82.5W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM WNW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...27 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH... 27 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BONNIE COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE BONNIE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN SOUTH FLORIDA WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL LIKELY BEGIN ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
