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| #362821 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 23.Jul.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 1100 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 ...DISORGANIZED BONNIE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.4N 83.4W ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SW OF SARASOTA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH... 28 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY...AND BONNIE COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL LIKELY BEGIN ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
