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| #362916 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:37 AM 24.Jul.2010) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 700 AM CDT SAT JUL 24 2010 ...BONNIE COULD DEGENERATE INTO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 86.1W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...32 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BONNIE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT BONNIE HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS COULD REACH PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES. STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS |
