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| #366609 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 06.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 AM AST FRI AUG 06 2010 ...CENTER OF COLIN MEANDERING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 66.9W ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST. COLIN HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST WEST OF BERMUDA SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER OVER THE ISLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SOME STRENGTHENING FORECAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
