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| #366851 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 07.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 AM AST SAT AUG 07 2010 ...COLIN HESITATES BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWARD MOTION LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 66.4W ABOUT 245 MI...400 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST. COLIN HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY. BECAUSE COLIN HAS BEEN STATIONARY ITS ANTICIPATED ARRIVAL TO BERMUDA HAS BEEN DELAYED UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLIGHT STRENGTHENING LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
