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#366934 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 07.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 500 PM AST SAT AUG 07 2010 ...COLIN EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA ON SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.4N 65.7W ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST. COLIN HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR LATER TODAY. BECAUSE COLIN HAS BEEN MEANDERING ITS ANTICIPATED EFFECTS IN BERMUDA HAVE BEEN DELAYED UNTIL SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLIGHT STRENGTHENING TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA ON SUNDAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |