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| #367730 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 10.Aug.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010 1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010 ...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.2N 84.2W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SSE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN |
