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| #367820 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:41 AM 11.Aug.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010 700 AM CDT WED AUG 11 2010 ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 85.8W ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS LOST SOME ORGANIZATION AND COULD BE DEGENERATING INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED...SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST ON THURSDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
