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#367880 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:37 PM 11.Aug.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010 100 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2010 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS DISORGANIZED...COULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 87.0W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS LOSING ORGANIZATION AND COULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE THE DEPRESSION REACHES THE COAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WIND...WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY IN GUSTS...COULD REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |