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| #37042 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 02.Aug.2005) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005 2100Z TUE AUG 02 2005 AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 68.7W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 175SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 68.7W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.3N 68.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N 66.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 33.3N 64.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.8N 62.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 34.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 34.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 35.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
