Show Selection: |
#371286 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 25.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 32.2W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 32.2W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 31.5W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.6N 34.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 38.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.5N 41.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 32.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |