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| #371449 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 26.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 37.1W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 37.1W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 36.3W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.4N 39.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.7N 42.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.1N 46.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 49.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.8N 54.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 58.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 37.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
