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| #371583 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 26.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0300 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 40.2W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 30SE 15SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 40.2W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 39.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 42.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.3N 46.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 49.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N 52.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 40.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
