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| #371604 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:43 AM 27.Aug.2010) TCDAT1 HURRICANE DANIELLE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010 200 AM AST FRI AUG 27 2010 RECENT INFRARED IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THAT THE EYE OF DANIELLE HAS CONTRACTED AND BECOME MORE DISTINCT...AND IS NOW EMBEDDED IN A RING OF TOPS COLDER THAN -60C. A SPECIAL DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM TAFB AT 0415 UTC YIELDED A DATA-T NUMBER OF 6.0/115 KT. BASED ON A BLEND OF THIS ESTIMATE AND AND RECENT ADT ESTIMATES OF 5.5/102 KT...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 105 KT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS...SHOWING A PEAK OF 115 KT AT 24 AND 36 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE TRACK AND WIND RADII FORECASTS ARE UNCHANGED. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0600Z 26.2N 58.1W 105 KT 12HR VT 27/1200Z 26.7N 59.0W 110 KT 24HR VT 28/0000Z 28.1N 60.4W 115 KT 36HR VT 28/1200Z 29.6N 60.9W 115 KT 48HR VT 29/0000Z 31.4N 60.3W 110 KT 72HR VT 30/0000Z 35.5N 56.5W 90 KT 96HR VT 31/0000Z 38.5N 50.5W 75 KT 120HR VT 01/0000Z 41.0N 42.0W 60 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
