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#37188 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:34 PM 03.Aug.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT WED AUG 03 2005 THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS ISSUED TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITY FOR HARVEY...AND TO UPDATE THE WIND RADII. RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FOUND 62 KT AT 1200 FT IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT...AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 999 MB. THE 62 KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND SUPPORTS ABOUT 50 KT AT THE SURFACE...AND IN FACT THE FLIGHT CREW MADE A VISUAL ESTIMATE OF 60 KT SURFACE WINDS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1800Z 30.9N 67.7W 50 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 31.8N 66.6W 55 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 32.6N 64.3W 55 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 33.3N 61.7W 50 KT 48HR VT 05/1200Z 34.0N 59.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 06/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 07/1200Z 38.0N 51.0W 35 KT 120HR VT 08/1200Z 41.0N 45.0W 30 KT |