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| #371955 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 PM 28.Aug.2010) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 200 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010 ...EARL A LITTLE WEAKER...ACCELERATING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 53.2W ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH...90 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA * ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. EARL HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL COULD APPROACH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT EARL HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH...90 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY TODAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR EARL TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
