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| #372177 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 29.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA * SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY * ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 58.4W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 110SE 60SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..170NE 80SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 58.4W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 57.7W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.6N 60.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 62.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N 64.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N 66.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.2N 69.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 58.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG |
