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| #372346 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 30.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA * SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY * ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 62.4W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 62.4W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 61.8W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.1N 64.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N 66.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N 67.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 85NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N 69.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N 65.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 62.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
