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| #372405 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 30.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC MON AUG 30 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PUERTO RICAN ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES. THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANGUILLA * SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY * ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICAN ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS * PUERTO RICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 63.6W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 170SE 100SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 63.6W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 63.0W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.5N 65.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N 68.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.2N 70.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 130SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.5N 71.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 45.5N 63.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 63.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG |
