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#372552 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 30.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0300 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 65.8W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 200SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 65.8W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 65.2W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 20.9N 67.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N 69.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.6N 71.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.9N 73.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 38.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 46.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 65.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |