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#372610 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 31.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0900 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 66.7W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 931 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 170SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 66.7W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 66.3W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N 68.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N 70.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N 72.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N 73.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 33.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 40.0N 69.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 48.0N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 66.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |