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| #372669 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 AM 31.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.9W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..440NE 180SE 180SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.9W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 67.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N 69.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N 71.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.3N 73.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N 57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 67.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
