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| #372796 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 31.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0300 UTC WED SEP 01 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS * CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 69.9W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 90SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 69.9W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 69.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 71.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.7N 75.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 175NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 47.0N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 56.0N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 69.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN |
