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| #37301 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 03.Aug.2005) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082005 0300Z THU AUG 04 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH INDICATES THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 65.8W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 75SE 45SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 65.8W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 66.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.1N 64.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 32.8N 62.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 38.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 41.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 65.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
