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| #373142 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 02.Sep.2010) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010 1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.8W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 180SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.8W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 65.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.4N 66.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.9N 66.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.3N 65.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 33.8N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.9N 61.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 65.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |
