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| #373436 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:04 AM 03.Sep.2010) TCDAT2 HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010 SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT EARL HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 75 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE IS ALREADY MOVING OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS AND A CONTINUED WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR CAPE COD AS A HURRICANE WITH A LARGE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH SHOULD AFFECT A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS. EARL SHOULD REACH CANADA AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AND THEN BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 030 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE HAS ALREADY RECURVED WHILE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. EARL SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A FEW DAYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 36.8N 73.1W 75 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 39.7N 70.8W 70 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 43.8N 66.5W 60 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 49.0N 62.0W 45 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48HR VT 05/1200Z 52.0N 56.5W 45 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
