Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995
The Atlantic is quiet
|
Show Selection: |
| #373518 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 03.Sep.2010) TCDAT2 HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010 EARL HAS BEEN MOVING OVER COOLER WATER AND WEAKENING. BASED ON THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND EARLIER RECONNAISSANCE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 70 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH CONTINUED WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED...EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR CAPE COD AS A HURRICANE WITH A LARGE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY AFFECT A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS. EARL IS EXPECTED TO REACH CANADA AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AND THEN BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. EARL IS STILL MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 030 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS...BUT IT SHOULD SOON INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED. THE HURRICANE HAS ALREADY RECURVED WHILE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. EARL SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 38.2N 71.8W 70 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 41.2N 69.2W 60 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 46.5N 64.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 05/0600Z 51.5N 59.0W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48HR VT 05/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
