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| #373589 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 03.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0300 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND AND FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND...AND BLOCK ISLAND * STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE * THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH * THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 69.7W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 69.7W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 70.9W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.1N 66.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.2N 61.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 150SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N 56.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 55.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...210NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 57.0N 57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 69.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
